NASDAQ · STOCK
AvalonBay Communities
$189.96
52W $160.10 – $205.00
55/100
$26.83B
23.6
0.77
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Current ratio of 0.19 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Current ratio of 0.19 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.8% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.19 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d)
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.666
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$186.34
Resistance
$192.99
Bollinger %B
0.61
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$190.62
Below
EMA 21
$188.09
Above
EMA 50
$184.61
Above
EMA 200
$183.39
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
52
Profitability
75
Financial Health
42
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.6×
P/B Ratio
2.26×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
3.64%
52W High
$205.00
52W Low
$160.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
971.0%
ROA
518.0%
Gross Margin
6279.0%
Operating Margin
2025.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+402.0%
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 4.0%; EPS growth (YoY) of -0.4%; Return on equity of 9.7%; Return on assets of 5.2%; Net margin of 37.2%; Gross margin of 62.8%; Current ratio of 0.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 81.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-56.3% -> +99.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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