BG · NYSE · STOCK
Bunge Global (BG) Stock Analysis
$102.78
52W $79.11 – $134.87
57/100
$19.74B
19.9
0.72
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is BG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Bunge Global (BG) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.22 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.78 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 80.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -48.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 80.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -48.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.0 to 56.8.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 54->46 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
25.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.609
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$101.56
Resistance
$103.23
Bollinger %B
0.13
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$106.89
Below
EMA 21
$109.96
Below
EMA 50
$112.83
Below
EMA 200
$112.08
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
93
Growth
82
Profitability
12
Financial Health
68
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.9×
P/B Ratio
1.26×
PEG Ratio
-0.40
Dividend Yield
2.76%
52W High
$134.87
52W Low
$79.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
513.1%
ROA
183.3%
Gross Margin
494.4%
Operating Margin
227.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.1%; Return on assets of 1.8%; Net margin of 1.1%; Gross margin of 4.9%; Current ratio of 1.57 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.05; Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.63); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-8.0% -> +9.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 52.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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