ECHO · NASDAQ · STOCK
EchoStar (ECHO) Stock Analysis
$84.23
52W $65.76 – $147.25
40/100
$14.51B
-4.6
0.95
Is ECHO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates EchoStar (ECHO) Reduce with a composite score of 40/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Watch
- Requires a committee score of 45.0 — +4.68 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Sell
- Requires the score to fall below 25.0 — -15.32 from today. The band boundary is 30.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -69.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.51 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -5.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
40/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 100%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.2x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -69.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -5.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
A severe recent event (see event intelligence) dominates the risk assessment regardless of balance-sheet or volatility metrics.
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net negative -- worth reading before acting
− Severe filing: Bankruptcy or receivership (72d ago)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 44.1 to 40.3.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->54 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
33.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.465
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$82.49
Resistance
$132.15
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$92.83
Below
EMA 21
$92.73
Below
EMA 50
$93.11
Below
EMA 200
$95.93
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
42
Profitability
6
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-4.6×
P/B Ratio
1.87×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$147.25
52W Low
$65.76
Quality & Growth
ROE
-25143.5%
ROA
-3370.2%
Gross Margin
2954.0%
Operating Margin
716.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -4.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -251.4%; Return on assets of -33.7%; Net margin of -38.7%; Gross margin of 29.5%; Current ratio of 5.20 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.24; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.94); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 307.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+93.3% -> -1185.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -239.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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