EME · NYSE · STOCK
Emcor (EME) Stock Analysis
$776.00
52W $564.92 – $951.96
65/100
$34.26B
24.3
1.15
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EME Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Emcor (EME) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.17 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is eps growing 33.4% yoy. The main limiting factor is p/e of 25.7 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 38.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 33.4% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 4%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 38.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 25.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 33.4% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 35 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.2 to 65.2.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
36.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.942
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$687.21
Resistance
$778.54
Bollinger %B
0.37
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$807.54
Below
EMA 21
$803.47
Below
EMA 50
$802.39
Below
EMA 200
$753.85
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
94
Profitability
60
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.3×
P/B Ratio
8.58×
PEG Ratio
0.75
Dividend Yield
0.19%
52W High
$951.96
52W Low
$564.92
Quality & Growth
ROE
3456.8%
ROA
1322.9%
Gross Margin
1966.1%
Operating Margin
1015.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.6x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.6%; Return on assets of 13.2%; Net margin of 7.7%; Gross margin of 19.7%; Current ratio of 12.77 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (26.00); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.2%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-29.3% -> +32.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 34.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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