EME · NYSE · STOCK
Emcor (EME) Stock Analysis
$788.94
52W $564.92 – $951.96
67/100
$34.82B
24.6
1.12
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EME Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Emcor (EME) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.51 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 38.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 33.4% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 38.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 33.4% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.9 to 66.5.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
4.335
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$723.73
Resistance
$831.25
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$781.31
Above
EMA 21
$772.16
Above
EMA 50
$773.85
Above
EMA 200
$755.72
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
94
Profitability
60
Financial Health
70
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.6×
P/B Ratio
8.60×
PEG Ratio
0.75
Dividend Yield
0.18%
52W High
$951.96
52W Low
$564.92
Quality & Growth
ROE
3464.4%
ROA
1369.9%
Gross Margin
1966.1%
Operating Margin
1015.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.13
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.6x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.6%; Return on assets of 13.7%; Net margin of 7.7%; Gross margin of 19.7%; Current ratio of 1.28 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.13; Free cash flow per share is positive (26.37); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.2%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-29.3% -> +32.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 34.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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