GPC · NYSE · STOCK
Genuine Parts (GPC) Stock Analysis
$132.55
52W $90.78 – $151.57
54/100
$18.62B
519.3
0.65
Is GPC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.97 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.03 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 563.1 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 563.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 0.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -95.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait
− P/E of 563.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -95.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 54.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.085
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$132.42
Resistance
$135.44
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$133.34
Below
EMA 21
$129.56
Above
EMA 50
$122.38
Above
EMA 200
$119.12
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
53
Growth
60
Profitability
13
Financial Health
41
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
519.3×
P/B Ratio
4.11×
PEG Ratio
-5.44
Dividend Yield
3.10%
52W High
$151.57
52W Low
$90.78
Quality & Growth
ROE
149.1%
ROA
31.7%
Gross Margin
3621.7%
Operating Margin
400.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 519.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of -5.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 36.2%; Current ratio of 1.16 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.51); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.6%; EPS growth accelerating (+14.2% -> +21.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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