GPC · NYSE · STOCK
Genuine Parts (GPC) Stock Analysis
$127.05
52W $90.78 – $151.57
54/100
$17.51B
488.5
0.68
Is GPC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.54 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 532.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 0.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -95.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 66%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait
− P/E of 532.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -95.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.3 to 53.5.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.022
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$126.63
Resistance
$129.41
Bollinger %B
0.36
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$127.18
Below
EMA 21
$128.58
Below
EMA 50
$128.57
Below
EMA 200
$123.08
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
55
Growth
60
Profitability
13
Financial Health
41
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
488.5×
P/B Ratio
3.86×
PEG Ratio
-5.11
Dividend Yield
3.32%
52W High
$151.57
52W Low
$90.78
Quality & Growth
ROE
149.1%
ROA
31.7%
Gross Margin
3621.7%
Operating Margin
400.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 488.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of -5.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 36.2%; Current ratio of 1.16 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.51); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.6%; EPS growth accelerating (+14.2% -> +21.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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