STZ · NYSE · STOCK
Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Analysis
$122.63
52W $110.60 – $168.60
60/100
$20.95B
11.0
0.43
Is STZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Constellation Brands (STZ) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.70 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.30 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 23.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 62.7% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -4.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 26%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 62.7% YoY
− Revenue declining -4.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 128 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 60.3.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 43->54 (+10); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +2 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.441
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$118.16
Above
EMA 21
$118.98
Above
EMA 50
$124.16
Below
EMA 200
$139.32
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
65
Profitability
90
Financial Health
41
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.0×
P/B Ratio
2.43×
PEG Ratio
0.18
Dividend Yield
3.34%
52W High
$168.60
52W Low
$110.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
2086.9%
ROA
770.2%
Gross Margin
5265.1%
Operating Margin
3085.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 20.9%; Return on assets of 7.7%; Net margin of 20.9%; Gross margin of 52.7%; Current ratio of 1.00 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.20; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.19); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+80.5% -> +9.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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