STZ · NYSE · STOCK
Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Analysis
$135.65
52W $126.45 – $168.60
63/100
$23.17B
12.9
0.40
Is STZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Constellation Brands (STZ) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is p/e of 12.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 23.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 13%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -10.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.6 to 62.6.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.405
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$131.25
Resistance
$167.53
Bollinger %B
0.78
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$133.93
Above
EMA 21
$133.60
Above
EMA 50
$135.79
Below
EMA 200
$146.45
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
93
Growth
91
Profitability
90
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.9×
P/B Ratio
2.83×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
3.02%
52W High
$168.60
52W Low
$126.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
2086.9%
ROA
770.2%
Gross Margin
5261.8%
Operating Margin
3213.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 20.9%; Return on assets of 7.7%; Net margin of 20.1%; Gross margin of 52.6%; Current ratio of 0.91 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.65); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-37.9% -> +80.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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