WM · NYSE · STOCK
Waste Management (WM) Stock Analysis
$226.44
52W $194.11 – $248.13
68/100
$89.56B
31.6
0.44
Is WM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Waste Management (WM) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.42 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened significantly from 56.6 to 68.4.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 50% to 80%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 62->85 (+22).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 45->70 (+25).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 45).
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.440
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$222.32
Resistance
$230.25
Bollinger %B
0.32
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$225.10
Above
EMA 21
$226.99
Below
EMA 50
$227.38
Below
EMA 200
$225.38
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
11
Growth
57
Profitability
63
Financial Health
8
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.6×
P/B Ratio
9.08×
PEG Ratio
6.47
Dividend Yield
1.58%
52W High
$248.13
52W Low
$194.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
2710.7%
ROA
590.8%
Gross Margin
3503.7%
Operating Margin
1853.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.35
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.1x; PEG ratio of 6.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.1%; Return on assets of 5.9%; Net margin of 11.1%; Gross margin of 35.0%; Current ratio of 0.91 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.35; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.88); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-6.2% -> +11.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.2%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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