WM · NYSE · STOCK
Waste Management (WM) Stock Analysis
$208.84
52W $194.11 – $248.13
51/100
$83.47B
29.5
0.43
Is WM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Waste Management (WM) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.25 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 28.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.29 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 86%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 28.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 29.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.29) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.2 to 51.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.871
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$200.49
Resistance
$212.07
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$207.92
Above
EMA 21
$209.80
Below
EMA 50
$215.25
Below
EMA 200
$221.69
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
14
Growth
62
Profitability
63
Financial Health
8
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.5×
P/B Ratio
8.46×
PEG Ratio
6.03
Dividend Yield
1.75%
52W High
$248.13
52W Low
$194.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
2710.7%
ROA
590.8%
Gross Margin
3503.7%
Operating Margin
1853.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.35
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.5x; PEG ratio of 6.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.1%; Return on assets of 5.9%; Net margin of 11.1%; Gross margin of 35.0%; Current ratio of 0.91 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.35; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.88); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-6.2% -> +11.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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