DVA · NYSE · STOCK
DaVita (DVA) Stock Analysis
$179.26
52W $101.00 – $247.49
57/100
$11.51B
15.4
0.80
Is DVA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates DaVita (DVA) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.28 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.72 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is high leverage (debt-to-equity 77.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 181.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 101.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 77.99 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 77.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 192 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 13.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 101.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 77.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.8 to 56.7.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.414
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$171.79
Resistance
$179.53
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$178.39
Above
EMA 21
$179.96
Below
EMA 50
$185.87
Below
EMA 200
$176.74
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
84
Profitability
25
Financial Health
78
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.4×
P/B Ratio
-15.18×
PEG Ratio
1.32
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$247.49
52W Low
$101.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-11470.2%
ROA
427.2%
Gross Margin
3102.4%
Operating Margin
1505.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-14.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -15.2x; PEG ratio of 1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -114.7%; Return on assets of 4.3%; Net margin of 6.0%; Gross margin of 31.0%; Current ratio of 1.47 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -14.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (24.85); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-15.6% -> +40.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 36.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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