ELAN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Elanco
$22.10
52W $16.89 – $27.98
53/100
$11.05B
-54.0
1.69
Is ELAN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Elanco (ELAN) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.97 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 25 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 95 Healthcare peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 25 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.0 to 53.0.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 42).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.334
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$20.62
Resistance
$23.66
Bollinger %B
-0.35
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$24.84
Below
EMA 21
$25.07
Below
EMA 50
$24.65
Below
EMA 200
$22.76
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
75
Profitability
20
Financial Health
98
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-54.0×
P/B Ratio
1.68×
PEG Ratio
0.34
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$27.98
52W Low
$16.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
-354.4%
ROA
-173.7%
Gross Margin
5259.0%
Operating Margin
920.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -54.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -3.5%; Return on assets of -1.7%; Net margin of -4.0%; Gross margin of 52.6%; Current ratio of 2.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.59; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.68); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+207.7% -> -15.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 30.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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