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ELV · NYSE · STOCK

Elevance Health (ELV) Stock Analysis

Healthcare Updated October 10, 2026
$412.51
52W $274.84 – $436.24
56/100
$89.50B
18.3
0.71
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
56/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+0.7%
-0.1%
7.89:1
Contested

Is ELV Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Elevance Health (ELV) Watch with a composite score of 56/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.68 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.32 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • EPS declining -4.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Current ratio of 0.19 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 192 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst neutral
44 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -4.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.19 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 56.3.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: score 61->68 (+7); +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
67.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.086
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$412.14
Resistance
$415.43
Bollinger %B
0.74
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$400.43 Above
EMA 21
$400.26 Above
EMA 50
$398.96 Above
EMA 200
$378.26 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
93
Growth
59
Profitability
43
Financial Health
95
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 18.3×
P/B Ratio 2.00×
PEG Ratio -4.08
Dividend Yield 1.66%
52W High $436.24
52W Low $274.84
Quality & Growth
ROE 1290.3%
ROA 466.0%
Gross Margin 3895.2%
Operating Margin 351.1%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of -4.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.9%; Return on assets of 4.7%; Net margin of 2.5%; Gross margin of 39.0%; Current ratio of 2.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow per share is positive (28.86); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 18.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+277.8% -> -40.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -15.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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