EQR · NYSE · STOCK
Equity Residential (EQR) Stock Analysis
$65.35
52W $57.57 – $71.50
51/100
$23.87B
27.6
0.75
Is EQR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Equity Residential (EQR) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 07, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.39 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.06 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 3 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 59.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- EPS declining -12.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 73%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 4.3% pays you to wait
− P/E of 59.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -12.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.06 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.4 to 51.4.
Comparing 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-07 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
29.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.339
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$63.65
Resistance
$63.84
Bollinger %B
-0.08
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$65.65
Below
EMA 21
$66.59
Below
EMA 50
$66.79
Below
EMA 200
$65.10
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
59
Profitability
67
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.6×
P/B Ratio
2.32×
PEG Ratio
-1.95
Dividend Yield
4.40%
52W High
$71.50
52W Low
$57.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
1014.4%
ROA
539.9%
Gross Margin
4596.3%
Operating Margin
2812.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.6 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.1%; Return on assets of 5.4%; Net margin of 27.9%; Gross margin of 46.0%; Current ratio of 0.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.07); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 29.0%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-76.0% -> +29.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -38.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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