EQR · NYSE · STOCK
Equity Residential (EQR) Stock Analysis
$63.66
52W $57.57 – $71.50
61/100
$24.74B
28.6
0.75
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EQR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Equity Residential (EQR) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.06 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.94 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Positive signals support the current rating — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 78 Real Estate peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 52.5 to 60.9.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 67% to 75%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 41->52 (+11).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.251
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.39
Resistance
$66.21
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$66.14
Below
EMA 21
$66.88
Below
EMA 50
$66.92
Below
EMA 200
$65.11
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
59
Profitability
67
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.6×
P/B Ratio
2.40×
PEG Ratio
-2.02
Dividend Yield
4.23%
52W High
$71.50
52W Low
$57.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
1014.4%
ROA
539.9%
Gross Margin
4596.3%
Operating Margin
2812.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.6 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.1%; Return on assets of 5.4%; Net margin of 27.9%; Gross margin of 46.0%; Current ratio of 0.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.07); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 30.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-76.0% -> +29.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -38.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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