GNRC · NYSE · STOCK
Generac (GNRC) Stock Analysis
$224.90
52W $134.80 – $296.44
50/100
$13.24B
51.0
1.92
Is GNRC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Generac (GNRC) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.88 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 51.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- EPS declining -25.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 91%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 51.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -25.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 71 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.9 to 49.9.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.688
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$202.75
Resistance
$234.27
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$217.61
Above
EMA 21
$209.68
Above
EMA 50
$209.03
Above
EMA 200
$209.56
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
51
Growth
91
Profitability
34
Financial Health
99
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
51.0×
P/B Ratio
4.58×
PEG Ratio
-1.84
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$296.44
52W Low
$134.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
606.1%
ROA
286.3%
Gross Margin
3953.9%
Operating Margin
949.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 51.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.6x; PEG ratio of -1.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.1%; Return on assets of 2.9%; Net margin of 5.8%; Gross margin of 39.5%; Current ratio of 2.04 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 41.8%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+11.8% -> +61.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 76.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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