ROK · NYSE · STOCK
Rockwell Automation (ROK) Stock Analysis
$432.54
52W $335.17 – $497.36
57/100
$48.14B
40.5
1.50
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ROK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Rockwell Automation (ROK) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.36 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 33.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 40.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 40.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.4 to 57.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.841
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$347.53
Resistance
$438.64
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$439.20
Below
EMA 21
$436.02
Below
EMA 50
$437.38
Below
EMA 200
$421.34
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
23
Growth
69
Profitability
83
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
40.5×
P/B Ratio
13.88×
PEG Ratio
1.63
Dividend Yield
1.28%
52W High
$497.36
52W Low
$335.17
Quality & Growth
ROE
2378.2%
ROA
774.6%
Gross Margin
5453.0%
Operating Margin
2168.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 40.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.9x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.8%; Return on assets of 7.7%; Net margin of 13.4%; Gross margin of 54.5%; Current ratio of 1.08 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.42); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+20.0% -> +5.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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