HLN · NYSE · STOCK
Haleon (HLN) Stock Analysis
$9.31
52W $8.65 – $11.28
53/100
$41.04B
19.3
0.24
Is HLN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Haleon plc (HLN) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.74 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.26 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 5 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.92 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 76%
of 192 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.92 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 56.8 to 53.3.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 33%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 72->68 (-4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 52->35 (-18).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.043
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$9.30
Resistance
$9.95
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$9.09
Above
EMA 21
$9.18
Above
EMA 50
$9.39
Below
EMA 200
$9.63
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
52
Profitability
68
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.3×
P/B Ratio
1.90×
PEG Ratio
3.27
Dividend Yield
2.09%
52W High
$11.28
52W Low
$8.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
994.4%
ROA
500.6%
Gross Margin
6556.7%
Operating Margin
2135.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.50
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 3.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.9%; Return on assets of 5.0%; Net margin of 14.6%; Gross margin of 65.6%; Current ratio of 0.69 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.50; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.27); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.2%; EPS growth decelerating (+19.3% -> -5.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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