ICLR · NASDAQ · STOCK
ICON Public (ICLR) Stock Analysis
$164.28
52W $66.57 – $203.91
53/100
$12.57B
38.3
1.24
Is ICLR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates ICON Public Limited Company (ICLR) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 184.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 0.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -90.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 83%
of 192 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 184.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -90.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.6 to 52.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.644
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$156.70
Resistance
$185.94
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$165.39
Below
EMA 21
$166.53
Below
EMA 50
$165.35
Below
EMA 200
$155.32
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
69
Growth
36
Profitability
13
Financial Health
56
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.3×
P/B Ratio
1.35×
PEG Ratio
-0.68
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$203.91
52W Low
$66.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
249.5%
ROA
141.0%
Gross Margin
2184.9%
Operating Margin
1014.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.37
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.5%; Return on assets of 1.4%; Net margin of 4.0%; Gross margin of 21.8%; Current ratio of 0.95 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.37; Free cash flow per share is positive (17.52); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-0.8% -> +2.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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