NKE · NYSE · STOCK
Nike (NKE) Stock Analysis
$39.06
52W $40.00 – $80.17
57/100
$60.27B
19.4
1.12
Is NKE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Nike Inc. (NKE) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.35 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.65 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Positive signals support the current rating — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 22.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.0% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -2.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 22.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -2.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.6 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.118
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$40.02
Resistance
$47.64
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$41.41
Below
EMA 21
$41.95
Below
EMA 50
$42.98
Below
EMA 200
$51.52
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Growth
62
Profitability
68
Financial Health
92
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.4×
P/B Ratio
4.06×
PEG Ratio
-6.98
Dividend Yield
4.00%
52W High
$80.17
52W Low
$40.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
2090.8%
ROA
809.2%
Gross Margin
4291.4%
Operating Margin
819.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.74
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of -7.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 20.9%; Return on assets of 8.1%; Net margin of 6.7%; Gross margin of 42.9%; Current ratio of 1.96 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.74; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 50.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (-34.0% -> -42.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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