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Southwest Gas (SWX) Stock Analysis

Utilities Updated August 18, 2026
$91.26
52W $75.75 – $94.47
65/100
$6.70B
12.9
0.57
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
65/100
Conviction: Moderate · 60% agreement · 5 analysts
+1.9%
-8.8%
0.22:1
Moderate
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.

Is SWX Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Southwest Gas Corp (SWX) Buy with a composite score of 65/100 , based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement. Last updated August 18, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.10 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is p/e of 12.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is revenue declining -15.3% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • P/E of 12.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
  • EPS growing 166.8% YoY — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
  • Revenue declining -15.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 166.8% YoY
− Revenue declining -15.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Macro Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 65.1 to 65.1.

Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
60.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.073
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$84.51
Resistance
$94.42
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$91.77 Below
EMA 21
$91.43 Below
EMA 50
$90.69 Above
EMA 200
$86.74 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
99
Growth
40
Profitability
72
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio 12.9×
P/B Ratio 1.63×
PEG Ratio 0.08
Dividend Yield 2.73%
52W High $94.47
52W Low $75.75
Quality & Growth
ROE 1110.4%
ROA 421.7%
Gross Margin 5660.7%
Operating Margin 2868.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.1%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 29.8%; Gross margin of 56.6%; Current ratio of 1.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow per share is negative (-11.44); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+40.4% -> -69.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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