SWX · NYSE · STOCK
Southwest Gas (SWX) Stock Analysis
$88.06
52W $76.59 – $94.47
64/100
$6.42B
12.4
0.57
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SWX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Southwest Gas Corp (SWX) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.32 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.68 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is p/e of 12.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is revenue declining -15.3% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 166.8% YoY — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -15.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 166.8% YoY
− Revenue declining -15.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.7 to 63.7.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.225
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$84.51
Resistance
$89.98
Bollinger %B
0.18
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$89.32
Below
EMA 21
$90.03
Below
EMA 50
$90.27
Below
EMA 200
$87.14
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
40
Profitability
72
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.4×
P/B Ratio
1.56×
PEG Ratio
0.07
Dividend Yield
2.85%
52W High
$94.47
52W Low
$76.59
Quality & Growth
ROE
1110.4%
ROA
421.7%
Gross Margin
5660.7%
Operating Margin
2868.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.1%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 29.8%; Gross margin of 56.6%; Current ratio of 1.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow per share is negative (-11.44); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+40.4% -> -69.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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