AOS vs GEO
A. O. Smith vs The GEO Group, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
68
Buy
| Metric | AOS | GEO |
|---|
| AI Score |
67
|
68
|
| Price |
$63.66
|
$31.75
|
| P/E Ratio |
17.74×
|
14.84×
|
| ROE |
29.4%
|
16.9%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
38.6%
|
42.4%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.37×
|
1.06×
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.3%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
53.5
|
63.7
|
| Beta |
1.157
|
0.779
|
| Expected Upside |
+4.1%
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for AOS versus GEO.
GEO leads by 1 points.
GEO scores 68/100 (Buy) versus AOS at 67/100 (Buy).
AOS Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 27.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
GEO Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical