EFX vs GEO
Equifax vs The GEO Group, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
68
Buy
| Metric | EFX | GEO |
|---|
| AI Score |
54
|
68
|
| Price |
$190.57
|
$32.77
|
| P/E Ratio |
33.49×
|
15.03×
|
| ROE |
14.3%
|
16.9%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
44.4%
|
42.4%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.25×
|
1.06×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.1%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
63.8
|
60.3
|
| Beta |
1.296
|
0.779
|
| Expected Upside |
+2.2%
|
+0.2%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for EFX versus GEO.
GEO leads by 14 points.
GEO scores 68/100 (Buy) versus EFX at 54/100 (Watch).
EFX Committee View
33% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 30.7 is moderate-to-rich. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — Technical
GEO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical