EXPD vs MOD
Expeditors International vs Modine Manufacturing Company — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
EXPD
Expeditors International
69
Buy
VS
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
52
Watch
| Metric | EXPD | MOD |
|---|
| AI Score |
69
|
52
|
| Price |
$177.05
|
$198.52
|
| P/E Ratio |
25.72×
|
74.28×
|
| ROE |
34.5%
|
10.2%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
23.9%
|
22.2%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.27×
|
0.56×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.9%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
61.1
|
43.7
|
| Beta |
1.045
|
1.705
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for EXPD versus MOD.
EXPD leads by 17 points.
EXPD scores 69/100 (Buy) versus MOD at 52/100 (Watch).
EXPD Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is p/e of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 40.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
MOD Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 42.7% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 29.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 71.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth