EXPD vs UPWK
Expeditors International vs Upwork Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
EXPD
Expeditors International
69
Buy
VS
UPWK
Upwork Inc.
55
Watch
| Metric | EXPD | UPWK |
|---|
| AI Score |
69
|
55
|
| Price |
$177.05
|
$8.36
|
| P/E Ratio |
25.72×
|
10.45×
|
| ROE |
34.5%
|
18.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
23.9%
|
77.2%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.27×
|
0.61×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.9%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
61.1
|
31.6
|
| Beta |
1.045
|
1.01
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for EXPD versus UPWK.
EXPD leads by 14 points.
EXPD scores 69/100 (Buy) versus UPWK at 55/100 (Watch).
EXPD Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is p/e of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 40.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
UPWK Committee View
50% agreement
4 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk