Get the Weekly Intelligence Brief — top committee picks every Sunday.

GD vs GEO

General Dynamics vs The GEO Group, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GD
General Dynamics
66
Buy
VS
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
68
Buy
MetricGDGEO
AI Score 66 68
Price $391.95 $31.75
P/E Ratio 23.57× 14.84×
ROE 16.4% 16.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
Gross Margin 15.4% 42.4%
Debt / Equity 0.35× 1.06×
Dividend Yield 1.6% 0.0%
RSI (14) 74.4 63.7
Beta 0.328 0.779
Expected Upside

AI Committee View

Current Innellis committee reasoning for GD versus GEO.
GEO leads by 2 points.

GEO scores 68/100 (Buy) versus GD at 66/100 (Buy).

GD Committee View
100% agreement
5 analysts

The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • ROE of 17.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
  • RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
GEO Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts

The primary driver is p/e of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
  • Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Want the full breakdown?
Committee votes, technicals, and trade plans for both companies.
GD Full Analysis GEO Full Analysis