GEO vs OSK
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Oshkosh — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
68
Buy
VS
| Metric | GEO | OSK |
|---|
| AI Score |
68
|
67
|
| Price |
$31.75
|
$155.75
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.84×
|
17.72×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
14.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
15.9%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
0.24×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
1.4%
|
| RSI (14) |
63.7
|
63.4
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.243
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+2.5%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus OSK.
GEO leads by 1 points.
GEO scores 68/100 (Buy) versus OSK at 67/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
OSK Committee View
83% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.26) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is eps declining -12.3% yoy despite any revenue growth. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -12.3% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth