UGI vs VST
UGI Corp vs Vistra Corp. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
| Metric | UGI | VST |
|---|
| AI Score |
55
|
60
|
| Price |
$34.21
|
$140.63
|
| P/E Ratio |
10.96×
|
59.83×
|
| ROE |
14.2%
|
18.5%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
38.9%
|
13.0%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.29×
|
0.00×
|
| Dividend Yield |
4.4%
|
0.6%
|
| RSI (14) |
17.8
|
34.8
|
| Beta |
0.95
|
1.409
|
| Expected Upside |
+0.7%
|
+19.8%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for UGI versus VST.
VST leads by 5 points.
VST scores 60/100 (Buy) versus UGI at 55/100 (Watch).
UGI Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait — Value
Bear Case
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 18 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
VST Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 23.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 23.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk