ADC · NYSE · STOCK
Agree Realty (ADC) Stock Analysis
$65.95
52W $64.43 – $82.08
52/100
$7.92B
35.5
0.42
Is ADC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Agree Realty (ADC) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.51 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.49 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 3.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 17 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 36.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.82 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.1 to 52.5.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.110
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$65.16
Resistance
$67.98
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$66.10
Below
EMA 21
$67.55
Below
EMA 50
$70.44
Below
EMA 200
$73.80
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
39
Growth
35
Profitability
59
Financial Health
47
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
35.5×
P/B Ratio
1.21×
PEG Ratio
3.77
Dividend Yield
4.81%
52W High
$82.08
52W Low
$64.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
325.9%
ROA
208.6%
Gross Margin
6985.5%
Operating Margin
4834.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.60
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 35.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 3.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.3%; Return on assets of 2.1%; Net margin of 28.9%; Gross margin of 69.9%; Current ratio of 0.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.60; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.45); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.2%; EPS growth decelerating (+6.4% -> -12.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.3%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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