ADC · NYSE · STOCK
Agree Realty (ADC) Stock Analysis
$74.33
52W $69.56 – $82.08
52/100
$8.91B
39.9
0.47
Is ADC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Agree Realty (ADC) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 19, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.36 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.82 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 3.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.82 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 19, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 79 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 41.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.82 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2974.99)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.4 to 52.4.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-18 to 2026-08-19 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.373
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$74.03
Resistance
$74.64
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$75.00
Below
EMA 21
$76.18
Below
EMA 50
$76.63
Below
EMA 200
$75.70
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
35
Profitability
59
Financial Health
47
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
39.9×
P/B Ratio
1.37×
PEG Ratio
4.24
Dividend Yield
4.25%
52W High
$82.08
52W Low
$69.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
325.9%
ROA
208.6%
Gross Margin
6985.5%
Operating Margin
4834.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.60
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 39.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 4.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.3%; Return on assets of 2.1%; Net margin of 28.9%; Gross margin of 69.9%; Current ratio of 0.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.60; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.45); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.2%; EPS growth decelerating (+6.4% -> -12.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.3%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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