CTRE · NYSE · STOCK
CareTrust REIT (CTRE) Stock Analysis
$39.02
52W $32.79 – $43.62
72/100
$9.36B
24.6
0.80
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CTRE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates CareTrust REIT (CTRE) Buy with a composite score of 72/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +2.96 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -17.04 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 4 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 8.8% downside vs 4.8% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
72/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 70.0 to 72.0.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 67% to 80%.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: score 75->70 (-5).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 55).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.047
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$36.09
Resistance
$41.51
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$39.55
Below
EMA 21
$39.82
Below
EMA 50
$40.10
Below
EMA 200
$38.51
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
78
Profitability
75
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.6×
P/B Ratio
2.06×
PEG Ratio
0.74
Dividend Yield
3.66%
52W High
$43.62
52W Low
$32.79
Quality & Growth
ROE
794.3%
ROA
622.6%
Gross Margin
7797.7%
Operating Margin
6970.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.27
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.9%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 65.4%; Gross margin of 78.0%; Current ratio of 1.20 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.27; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.85); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-30.0% -> +8.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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