AEP · NASDAQ · STOCK
American Electric Power (AEP) Stock Analysis
$120.87
52W $105.70 – $140.58
51/100
$65.84B
20.8
0.51
Is AEP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates American Electric Power (AEP) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.48 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 55%
of 56 Utilities peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.9 to 51.5.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 40->35 (-5).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 32).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 50).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.124
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$112.59
Resistance
$124.71
Bollinger %B
0.02
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$124.97
Below
EMA 21
$126.85
Below
EMA 50
$129.08
Below
EMA 200
$125.93
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
41
Profitability
58
Financial Health
21
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.8×
P/B Ratio
2.05×
PEG Ratio
-1.39
Dividend Yield
3.14%
52W High
$140.58
52W Low
$105.70
Quality & Growth
ROE
1149.7%
ROA
305.3%
Gross Margin
4897.7%
Operating Margin
2835.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.66
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of -1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.5%; Return on assets of 3.1%; Net margin of 13.9%; Gross margin of 49.0%; Current ratio of 0.50 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.66; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.46); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 10.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+37.8% -> -17.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -4.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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