AGG · NASDAQ · ETF
iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) Analysis
$96.24
52W $95.73 – $101.46
65/100
$135.52B
—
0.99
Is AGG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.14 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is price structure making lower highs and lower lows. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 212 Financial Services peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 61.4 to 65.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 65->80 (+15); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 45->55 (+10); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.042
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$96.21
Above
EMA 21
$96.61
Below
EMA 50
$97.21
Below
EMA 200
$98.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
—
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$101.46
52W Low
$95.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
—
ROA
—
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
—
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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