APH · NYSE · STOCK
Amphenol (APH) Stock Analysis
$87.23
52W $59.01 – $89.93
59/100
$215.13B
41.5
1.24
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is APH Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amphenol (APH) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.02 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.98 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 54.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 59.4% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 48%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 41.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.3 to 59.0.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.339
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$69.85
Resistance
$88.12
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$86.13
Above
EMA 21
$84.33
Above
EMA 50
$82.16
Above
EMA 200
$77.09
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
78
Profitability
84
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.5×
P/B Ratio
13.85×
PEG Ratio
0.70
Dividend Yield
0.57%
52W High
$89.93
52W Low
$59.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
3183.7%
ROA
1178.4%
Gross Margin
3849.7%
Operating Margin
2719.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.8x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 31.8%; Return on assets of 11.8%; Net margin of 17.8%; Gross margin of 38.5%; Current ratio of 1.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+9.3% -> +27.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -16.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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