APH · NYSE · STOCK
Amphenol (APH) Stock Analysis
$170.90
52W $104.71 – $178.52
61/100
$206.04B
39.8
1.25
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is APH Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amphenol (APH) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.11 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 54.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 21.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 59.4% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 40.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 45%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 40.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.1 to 61.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.475
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$126.23
Resistance
$178.43
Bollinger %B
0.67
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$166.58
Above
EMA 21
$163.41
Above
EMA 50
$158.21
Above
EMA 200
$141.52
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
34
Growth
95
Profitability
84
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
39.8×
P/B Ratio
13.26×
PEG Ratio
0.67
Dividend Yield
0.55%
52W High
$178.52
52W Low
$104.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
3183.7%
ROA
1178.4%
Gross Margin
3849.7%
Operating Margin
2719.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 39.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.3x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 31.8%; Return on assets of 11.8%; Net margin of 17.8%; Gross margin of 38.5%; Current ratio of 1.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+9.3% -> +27.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 66.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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