AQN · NYSE · STOCK
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
$5.80
52W $5.32 – $7.11
48/100
$4.47B
27.5
0.90
Is AQN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.75 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -16.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 3.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -16.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 94%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 25.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -16.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.020
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$5.75
Resistance
$6.13
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$5.79
Above
EMA 21
$5.82
Below
EMA 50
$5.88
Below
EMA 200
$5.98
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Profitability
27
Financial Health
37
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.5×
P/B Ratio
0.96×
PEG Ratio
0.06
Dividend Yield
4.44%
52W High
$7.11
52W Low
$5.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
390.3%
ROA
128.1%
Gross Margin
3670.9%
Operating Margin
1973.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.44
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 27.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.9%; Return on assets of 1.3%; Net margin of 6.7%; Gross margin of 36.7%; Current ratio of 1.05 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.44; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.14); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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