AQN · NYSE · STOCK
Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) Stock Analysis
$5.11
52W $4.91 – $7.11
54/100
$3.93B
28.0
0.89
Is AQN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.08 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 7.3% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 3.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 26.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.1 to 54.1.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.021
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$4.46
Resistance
$6.13
Bollinger %B
0.43
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$5.09
Above
EMA 21
$5.18
Below
EMA 50
$5.40
Below
EMA 200
$5.78
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Growth
56
Profitability
31
Financial Health
30
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.0×
P/B Ratio
0.85×
PEG Ratio
0.06
Dividend Yield
4.95%
52W High
$7.11
52W Low
$4.91
Quality & Growth
ROE
390.3%
ROA
128.1%
Gross Margin
4539.0%
Operating Margin
2049.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.44
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.9%; Return on assets of 1.3%; Net margin of 5.9%; Gross margin of 45.4%; Current ratio of 0.88 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.44; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.08); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+116.7% -> -69.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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