AWK · NYSE · STOCK
American Water Works (AWK) Stock Analysis
$128.88
52W $120.57 – $145.64
55/100
$25.61B
22.3
0.57
Is AWK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates American Water Works (AWK) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.98 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.02 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.46 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.46 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.0 to 55.0.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.279
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$124.07
Resistance
$135.52
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$129.09
Below
EMA 21
$131.39
Below
EMA 50
$133.22
Below
EMA 200
$133.06
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
69
Profitability
62
Financial Health
28
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.3×
P/B Ratio
2.17×
PEG Ratio
5.38
Dividend Yield
2.67%
52W High
$145.64
52W Low
$120.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
1025.2%
ROA
304.2%
Gross Margin
4719.9%
Operating Margin
3694.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.38
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 5.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.3%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 21.3%; Gross margin of 47.2%; Current ratio of 0.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.38; Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.26); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-17.3% -> +59.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full AWK Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →