BEPC · NYSE · STOCK
Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) Stock Analysis
$28.88
52W $27.57 – $45.18
49/100
$4.27B
-1.1
1.15
Is BEPC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.04 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.96 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 10.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -67.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 10.51 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -1.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 80%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait
− ROE of only -67.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -1.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 10.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.5 to 49.0.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.151
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$23.77
Resistance
$29.83
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$28.94
Below
EMA 21
$29.35
Below
EMA 50
$30.88
Below
EMA 200
$34.80
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
72
Profitability
42
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-1.1×
P/B Ratio
-1.59×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
5.35%
52W High
$45.18
52W Low
$27.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
42118.5%
ROA
-369.6%
Gross Margin
4707.8%
Operating Margin
5082.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-4.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 421.2%; Return on assets of -3.7%; Net margin of -113.7%; Gross margin of 47.1%; Current ratio of 0.40 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -4.65; Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.04); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 41.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-174.1% -> +7.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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