ES · NYSE · STOCK
Eversource Energy (ES) Stock Analysis
$65.70
52W $62.72 – $76.57
56/100
$24.72B
17.0
0.68
Is ES Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Eversource Energy (ES) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 8 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 66.2% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.85 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.65 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 23%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait
− Debt-to-equity of 1.85 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 66.2% YoY
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.6 to 56.4.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 77->82 (+5); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.314
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$63.48
Resistance
$66.22
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$65.21
Above
EMA 21
$66.07
Below
EMA 50
$68.13
Below
EMA 200
$69.40
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
5
Profitability
42
Financial Health
17
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.0×
P/B Ratio
1.51×
PEG Ratio
0.26
Dividend Yield
4.74%
52W High
$76.57
52W Low
$62.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
1044.8%
ROA
265.3%
Gross Margin
3524.2%
Operating Margin
2234.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.4%; Return on assets of 2.7%; Net margin of 10.4%; Gross margin of 35.2%; Current ratio of 0.80 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.82; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.79); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 60.9%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+43.7% -> -77.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -62.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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