ESS · NYSE · STOCK
Essex Property Trust (ESS) Stock Analysis
$289.01
52W $238.46 – $303.35
54/100
$18.57B
44.9
0.71
Is ESS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Essex Property Trust (ESS) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.04 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.96 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 79 Real Estate peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 47.5 to 54.0.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 32->35 (+3).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 38).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.285
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$276.36
Resistance
$291.75
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$286.65
Above
EMA 21
$287.20
Above
EMA 50
$285.60
Above
EMA 200
$273.12
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
56
Growth
37
Profitability
78
Financial Health
31
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
44.9×
P/B Ratio
3.50×
PEG Ratio
-0.93
Dividend Yield
3.57%
52W High
$303.35
52W Low
$238.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
1213.6%
ROA
511.1%
Gross Margin
6938.1%
Operating Margin
2907.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.27
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 44.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.1%; Return on assets of 5.1%; Net margin of 21.6%; Gross margin of 69.4%; Current ratio of 0.36 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.27; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.17); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 34.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+32.0% -> -41.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -71.8%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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