EXC · NASDAQ · STOCK
Exelon (EXC) Stock Analysis
$41.76
52W $39.73 – $50.65
49/100
$43.02B
15.2
0.39
Is EXC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Exelon (EXC) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.97 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.03 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.7% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.74 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.74) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.92 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 83%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.7% pays you to wait
− Debt-to-equity of 1.74 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.74) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.0 to 49.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.242
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$41.72
Resistance
$42.13
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$41.33
Above
EMA 21
$41.69
Above
EMA 50
$42.97
Below
EMA 200
$44.81
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
40
Profitability
35
Financial Health
27
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.2×
P/B Ratio
1.44×
PEG Ratio
3.64
Dividend Yield
3.98%
52W High
$50.65
52W Low
$39.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
961.2%
ROA
237.4%
Gross Margin
2454.0%
Operating Margin
2078.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.76
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 3.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.6%; Return on assets of 2.4%; Net margin of 11.0%; Gross margin of 24.5%; Current ratio of 1.00 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.76; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.87); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 2.5%; EPS growth decelerating (+54.2% -> -52.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 10.3%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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