FE · NYSE · STOCK
FirstEnergy (FE) Stock Analysis
$47.42
52W $42.73 – $52.34
53/100
$27.43B
25.3
0.45
Is FE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates FirstEnergy (FE) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.35 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.65 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -17.2% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.12 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -17.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 76%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait
− P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -17.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.12) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.6 to 52.6.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.211
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$43.89
Resistance
$47.70
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$47.39
Above
EMA 21
$47.82
Below
EMA 50
$47.84
Below
EMA 200
$47.04
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Growth
24
Profitability
44
Financial Health
6
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.3×
P/B Ratio
2.12×
PEG Ratio
-1.50
Dividend Yield
3.84%
52W High
$52.34
52W Low
$42.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
815.3%
ROA
182.5%
Gross Margin
5342.8%
Operating Margin
1856.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.3 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.2%; Return on assets of 1.8%; Net margin of 6.9%; Gross margin of 53.4%; Current ratio of 0.54 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.24; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.73); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.9%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+35.8% -> -30.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -3.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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