FE · NYSE · STOCK
FirstEnergy (FE) Stock Analysis
$46.57
52W $42.87 – $52.34
47/100
$26.60B
24.5
0.45
Is FE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates FirstEnergy (FE) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +13.09 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -6.91 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -17.2% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait — Value
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.12 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -17.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 87%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait
− P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -17.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.12) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 46.9 to 46.9.
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.3
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.139
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$43.89
Resistance
$47.70
Bollinger %B
0.04
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$47.05
Below
EMA 21
$47.49
Below
EMA 50
$47.68
Below
EMA 200
$47.04
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
24
Profitability
44
Financial Health
6
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.5×
P/B Ratio
2.05×
PEG Ratio
-1.46
Dividend Yield
3.96%
52W High
$52.34
52W Low
$42.87
Quality & Growth
ROE
815.3%
ROA
182.5%
Gross Margin
5342.8%
Operating Margin
1856.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.2%; Return on assets of 1.8%; Net margin of 6.9%; Gross margin of 53.4%; Current ratio of 0.54 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.24; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.73); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.9%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+35.8% -> -30.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -3.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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