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GIS · NYSE · STOCK

General Mills (GIS) Stock Analysis

Consumer Defensive Updated October 10, 2026
$32.29
52W $31.18 – $49.71
45/100
$17.23B
-19.6
-0.05
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
45/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+22.4%
-1.7%
13.52:1
Contested

Is GIS Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates General Mills (GIS) Watch with a composite score of 45/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +14.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -5.36 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -4.5% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Dividend yield of 3.6% pays you to wait — Value
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
  • ROE of only -10.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 1.84 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • Revenue declining -4.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
45/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 100%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst bearish
40 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 3.6% pays you to wait
− ROE of only -10.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst bearish
25 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -4.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst neutral
47 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
33 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.84) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 45.0 to 45.4.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish.
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
37.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.074
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$31.75
Resistance
$39.53
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$32.60 Below
EMA 21
$33.99 Below
EMA 50
$35.56 Below
EMA 200
$39.00 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
96
Growth
45
Profitability
8
Financial Health
17
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -19.6×
P/B Ratio 2.33×
PEG Ratio 0.26
Dividend Yield 7.56%
52W High $49.71
52W Low $31.18
Quality & Growth
ROE -118.9%
ROA -29.2%
Gross Margin 3342.6%
Operating Margin 1419.2%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 1.83
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -19.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -1.2%; Return on assets of -0.3%; Net margin of -4.9%; Gross margin of 33.4%; Current ratio of 0.70 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.83; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.88); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+48.4% -> -21.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.8%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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