KHC · NASDAQ · STOCK
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Stock Analysis
$22.27
52W $21.04 – $28.09
53/100
$26.41B
-7.8
0.08
Is KHC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.82 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.18 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -8.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 69%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -8.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.9 to 53.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 60->55 (-4).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
33.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.085
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$22.00
Resistance
$24.70
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$22.50
Below
EMA 21
$23.23
Below
EMA 50
$24.03
Below
EMA 200
$24.48
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
61
Profitability
8
Financial Health
60
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-7.8×
P/B Ratio
0.73×
PEG Ratio
-0.65
Dividend Yield
7.18%
52W High
$28.09
52W Low
$21.04
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1403.1%
ROA
-714.8%
Gross Margin
3282.3%
Operating Margin
-1303.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -7.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.7x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -14.0%; Return on assets of -7.1%; Net margin of -13.6%; Gross margin of 32.8%; Current ratio of 1.06 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.22); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-13.4% -> -3.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -18.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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