KHC · NASDAQ · STOCK
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Stock Analysis
$24.84
52W $21.04 – $28.09
59/100
$29.47B
-8.7
0.08
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is KHC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.28 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.72 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Positive signals support the current rating — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -8.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Negative filing: Delisting notice or failure to satisfy listing rule (10d ago) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -8.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− Negative filing: Delisting notice or failure to satisfy listing rule (10d ago)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.7 to 58.7.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.018
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$23.70
Resistance
$25.19
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$25.46
Below
EMA 21
$25.45
Below
EMA 50
$25.17
Below
EMA 200
$24.74
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
61
Profitability
8
Financial Health
60
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-8.7×
P/B Ratio
0.82×
PEG Ratio
-0.72
Dividend Yield
6.44%
52W High
$28.09
52W Low
$21.04
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1403.1%
ROA
-714.8%
Gross Margin
3282.3%
Operating Margin
-1303.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -8.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of -0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -14.0%; Return on assets of -7.1%; Net margin of -13.6%; Gross margin of 32.8%; Current ratio of 1.06 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.22); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-13.4% -> -3.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -18.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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