GLD · NASDAQ · ETF
SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) Analysis
$405.46
52W $305.19 – $509.70
66/100
$141.64B
—
0.41
Is GLD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) Insufficient Data with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 3 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
No threshold can be published for GLD. The committee has not produced a scored recommendation, so there is no line for it to cross. Innellis does not infer one.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
3
Conviction
Low Data
Sector Rank
Top 35%
of 210 Financial Services peers
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 67.0 to 66.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
68.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.896
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$399.20
Resistance
$403.30
Bollinger %B
0.84
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$395.40
Above
EMA 21
$387.08
Above
EMA 50
$384.88
Above
EMA 200
$403.39
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
—
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$509.70
52W Low
$305.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
—
ROA
—
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
—
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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