GLPI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) Stock Analysis
$38.27
52W $37.33 – $49.95
56/100
$10.84B
11.1
0.68
Is GLPI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.84 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.16 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 20.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 6.5% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 30.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.57 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 22 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 26%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.57 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 30.8% YoY
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.21 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.2 to 56.2.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.093
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$38.22
Above
EMA 21
$39.04
Below
EMA 50
$40.81
Below
EMA 200
$44.05
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
66
Profitability
80
Financial Health
70
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.1×
P/B Ratio
2.15×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
8.36%
52W High
$49.95
52W Low
$37.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
1783.5%
ROA
639.1%
Gross Margin
4704.7%
Operating Margin
8261.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.8%; Return on assets of 6.4%; Net margin of 58.5%; Gross margin of 47.0%; Current ratio of 9.43 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.68; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.25); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 2.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-12.8% -> -2.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 48.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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