MAA · NYSE · STOCK
Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) Stock Analysis
$131.16
52W $120.30 – $146.41
60/100
$15.54B
39.0
0.72
Is MAA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.53 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.47 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 78 Real Estate peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 54.8 to 60.5.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 32->35 (+3).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 52->70 (+18).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.004
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$129.81
Resistance
$137.78
Bollinger %B
0.48
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$133.34
Below
EMA 21
$133.80
Below
EMA 50
$133.87
Below
EMA 200
$134.18
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
61
Growth
50
Profitability
59
Financial Health
36
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
39.0×
P/B Ratio
2.85×
PEG Ratio
-1.31
Dividend Yield
4.57%
52W High
$146.41
52W Low
$120.30
Quality & Growth
ROE
786.4%
ROA
373.2%
Gross Margin
4725.1%
Operating Margin
2688.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 39.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of -1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.9%; Return on assets of 3.7%; Net margin of 18.2%; Gross margin of 47.3%; Current ratio of 0.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.90); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 37.3%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+120.8% -> -1.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 13.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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