MLM · NYSE · STOCK
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Stock Analysis
$478.18
52W $470.19 – $710.97
63/100
$28.73B
11.7
1.08
Is MLM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.75 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 23.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 125.7% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 20 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 15%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 125.7% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.8 to 62.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.066
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$448.51
Resistance
$560.06
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$482.99
Below
EMA 21
$490.72
Below
EMA 50
$511.39
Below
EMA 200
$562.01
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
66
Profitability
60
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.7×
P/B Ratio
2.49×
PEG Ratio
0.09
Dividend Yield
0.70%
52W High
$710.97
52W Low
$470.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
1133.4%
ROA
607.7%
Gross Margin
2822.5%
Operating Margin
2109.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.3%; Return on assets of 6.1%; Net margin of 36.8%; Gross margin of 28.2%; Current ratio of 1.40 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.52; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.48); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-58.2% -> +159.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -7.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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