FIX · NYSE · STOCK
Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Stock Analysis
$1,655.21
52W $670.19 – $2073.99
60/100
$58.27B
40.7
1.70
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FIX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.17 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.83 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 39 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 39 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.9 to 59.8.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 58->35 (-22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 49).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.921
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$358.19
Resistance
$2071.66
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,713.76
Below
EMA 21
$1,726.83
Below
EMA 50
$1,749.07
Below
EMA 200
$1,485.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
89
Profitability
70
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
40.7×
P/B Ratio
18.12×
PEG Ratio
0.37
Dividend Yield
0.18%
52W High
$2073.99
52W Low
$670.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
4175.8%
ROA
1587.5%
Gross Margin
2566.8%
Operating Margin
1646.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 40.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 18.1x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 41.8%; Return on assets of 15.9%; Net margin of 12.8%; Gross margin of 25.7%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.10; Free cash flow per share is positive (61.32); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 18.7%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+12.2% -> +19.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 91.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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