VMC · NYSE · STOCK
Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Analysis
$244.65
52W $237.03 – $331.09
56/100
$31.69B
28.8
1.05
Is VMC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.72 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.28 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 28.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.3 to 56.3.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.288
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$225.38
Resistance
$276.60
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$245.36
Below
EMA 21
$248.23
Below
EMA 50
$258.41
Below
EMA 200
$275.95
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Growth
73
Profitability
54
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.8×
P/B Ratio
3.76×
PEG Ratio
1.58
Dividend Yield
0.84%
52W High
$331.09
52W Low
$237.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
1268.0%
ROA
647.3%
Gross Margin
2742.8%
Operating Margin
1992.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.7%; Return on assets of 6.5%; Net margin of 13.8%; Gross margin of 27.4%; Current ratio of 1.76 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.58; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-20.6% -> +91.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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