MPT · NYSE · STOCK
Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
$4.01
52W $3.95 – $6.47
45/100
$2.40B
-228.4
1.46
Is MPT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) Watch with a composite score of 45/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +14.79 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -5.21 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 8.7% pays you to wait — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.49 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -2.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.11 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 19 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
45/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 78 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 8.7% pays you to wait
− ROE of only -2.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.11) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
19.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.066
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$3.96
Resistance
$4.63
Bollinger %B
-0.24
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$4.46
Below
EMA 21
$4.59
Below
EMA 50
$4.70
Below
EMA 200
$4.91
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
25
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-228.4×
P/B Ratio
0.53×
PEG Ratio
-0.37
Dividend Yield
8.71%
52W High
$6.47
52W Low
$3.95
Quality & Growth
ROE
-601.3%
ROA
-184.7%
Gross Margin
9720.8%
Operating Margin
5661.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -228.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.5x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -6.0%; Return on assets of -1.8%; Net margin of -3.0%; Gross margin of 97.2%; Current ratio of 3.52 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.02; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.27); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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