NEE · NYSE · STOCK
NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock Analysis
$77.37
52W $74.41 – $98.75
54/100
$161.41B
17.3
0.64
Is NEE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates NextEra Energy (NEE) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.68 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.32 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 55.3% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 55.3% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.75 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.75) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 35%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 1.75 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 55.3% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.75) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.7 to 54.3.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.299
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$72.81
Resistance
$77.42
Bollinger %B
0.43
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.16
Above
EMA 21
$78.31
Below
EMA 50
$81.15
Below
EMA 200
$84.54
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Growth
65
Profitability
74
Financial Health
14
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.3×
P/B Ratio
2.83×
PEG Ratio
0.31
Dividend Yield
3.15%
52W High
$98.75
52W Low
$74.41
Quality & Growth
ROE
1251.5%
ROA
321.3%
Gross Margin
7180.7%
Operating Margin
2949.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.5%; Return on assets of 3.2%; Net margin of 32.0%; Gross margin of 71.8%; Current ratio of 0.53 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.93; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.46); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+101.9% -> +5.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 9.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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