NFLX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis
$80.01
52W $65.08 – $126.71
55/100
$333.16B
24.8
1.51
Is NFLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Netflix Inc. (NFLX) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.87 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.13 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 114 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 35.3% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 114 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 64%
of 54 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 35.3% YoY
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 114 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.1 to 55.1.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
68.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.691
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$75.01
Resistance
$94.14
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$78.37
Above
EMA 21
$76.44
Above
EMA 50
$76.86
Above
EMA 200
$87.36
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
37
Profitability
93
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.8×
P/B Ratio
11.12×
PEG Ratio
0.73
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$126.71
52W Low
$65.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
4125.9%
ROA
1975.1%
Gross Margin
4911.8%
Operating Margin
2967.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.1x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 41.3%; Return on assets of 19.8%; Net margin of 28.2%; Gross margin of 49.1%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.62); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> +14.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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