NFLX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis
$78.25
52W $65.08 – $126.70
63/100
$325.83B
24.2
1.53
Is NFLX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Netflix Inc. (NFLX) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.88 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 35.3% YoY — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 86 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 35.3% YoY
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
73
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 86 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.8 to 62.9.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: score 48->55 (+7).
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.076
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$75.01
Resistance
$94.14
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$80.62
Below
EMA 21
$79.13
Below
EMA 50
$78.16
Above
EMA 200
$86.82
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
37
Profitability
93
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.2×
P/B Ratio
10.87×
PEG Ratio
0.71
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$126.70
52W Low
$65.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
4125.9%
ROA
1975.1%
Gross Margin
4911.8%
Operating Margin
2967.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.9x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 41.3%; Return on assets of 19.8%; Net margin of 28.2%; Gross margin of 49.1%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.62); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> +14.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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