NFLX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis
$70.31
52W $65.08 – $124.86
54/100
$292.72B
21.8
1.61
Is NFLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Netflix Inc. (NFLX) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.42 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 35.3% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 175 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 35.3% YoY
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 175 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.7 to 54.4.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->64 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.142
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$68.57
Resistance
$71.10
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$69.96
Above
EMA 21
$71.63
Below
EMA 50
$74.16
Below
EMA 200
$83.72
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
37
Profitability
93
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.8×
P/B Ratio
9.77×
PEG Ratio
0.64
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$124.86
52W Low
$65.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
4125.9%
ROA
1975.1%
Gross Margin
4911.8%
Operating Margin
2967.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.8x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 41.3%; Return on assets of 19.8%; Net margin of 28.2%; Gross margin of 49.1%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.62); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> +14.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full NFLX Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →