RBLX · NYSE · STOCK
Roblox (RBLX) Stock Analysis
$38.39
52W $33.88 – $142.00
51/100
$27.41B
-26.8
1.46
Is RBLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.21 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.79 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 41.3% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 41.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -288.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.55 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 92%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 41.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.55) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.8 to 50.8.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.446
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$37.50
Resistance
$48.41
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$38.29
Above
EMA 21
$40.47
Below
EMA 50
$44.55
Below
EMA 200
$60.75
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
75
Profitability
25
Financial Health
1
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-26.8×
P/B Ratio
180.94×
PEG Ratio
16.40
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$142.00
52W Low
$33.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
-26998.7%
ROA
-1114.4%
Gross Margin
7893.9%
Operating Margin
-2072.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
12.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -26.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 180.9x; PEG ratio of 16.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -270.0%; Return on assets of -11.1%; Net margin of -17.6%; Gross margin of 78.9%; Current ratio of 0.82 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 12.08; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 25.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+40.0% -> +3.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 36.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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