RBLX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Roblox Corporation
$39.28
52W $33.88 – $142.00
52/100
$27.00B
-26.4
1.46
Is RBLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.24 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 63.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 63.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 91%
of 172 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 63.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.1 to 52.2.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 67->58 (-9).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 32).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.522
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$37.50
Resistance
$48.41
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$40.17
Below
EMA 21
$44.67
Below
EMA 50
$47.91
Below
EMA 200
$63.18
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
75
Profitability
25
Financial Health
1
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-26.4×
P/B Ratio
178.20×
PEG Ratio
16.15
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$142.00
52W Low
$33.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
-26998.7%
ROA
-1114.4%
Gross Margin
7893.9%
Operating Margin
-2072.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
12.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -26.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 178.2x; PEG ratio of 16.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -270.0%; Return on assets of -11.1%; Net margin of -17.6%; Gross margin of 78.9%; Current ratio of 0.82 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 12.08; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 25.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+40.0% -> +3.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 36.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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