RBLX · NYSE · STOCK
Roblox (RBLX) Stock Analysis
$48.08
52W $33.88 – $141.95
52/100
$34.35B
-33.6
1.47
Is RBLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.55 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.45 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 41.3% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 41.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -288.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.55 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.55) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.96 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 41.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.55) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.8 to 52.5.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.001
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$40.18
Resistance
$48.41
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$45.74
Above
EMA 21
$45.32
Above
EMA 50
$44.97
Above
EMA 200
$56.11
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
75
Profitability
25
Financial Health
1
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-33.6×
P/B Ratio
226.77×
PEG Ratio
20.56
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$141.95
52W Low
$33.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
-26998.7%
ROA
-1114.4%
Gross Margin
7893.9%
Operating Margin
-2072.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
12.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -33.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 226.8x; PEG ratio of 20.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -270.0%; Return on assets of -11.1%; Net margin of -17.6%; Gross margin of 78.9%; Current ratio of 0.82 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 12.08; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 25.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+40.0% -> +3.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 36.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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