NWE · NASDAQ · STOCK
NorthWestern Energy
$72.11
52W $54.89 – $75.18
53/100
$4.43B
25.8
0.36
Is NWE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates NorthWestern Energy (NWE) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.52 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.72 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -24.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.72 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 45 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 25.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -24.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.72 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.8 to 52.5.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 35->40 (+5); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Value Analyst joined: bullish at 60.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.100
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$65.54
Resistance
$72.20
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$70.57
Above
EMA 21
$70.93
Above
EMA 50
$70.96
Above
EMA 200
$67.75
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
57
Profitability
51
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.8×
P/B Ratio
1.53×
PEG Ratio
-1.08
Dividend Yield
3.69%
52W High
$75.18
52W Low
$54.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
627.5%
ROA
214.1%
Gross Margin
6649.3%
Operating Margin
1884.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of -1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.3%; Return on assets of 2.1%; Net margin of 10.1%; Gross margin of 66.5%; Current ratio of 0.83 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.24; Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.12); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+12.0% -> -61.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 25.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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