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OGS · NASDAQ · STOCK

One Gas

Utilities Updated August 08, 2026
$80.36
52W $73.91 – $90.78
55/100
$5.03B
17.2
0.65
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
55/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+1.5%
-2.0%
0.74:1
Contested

Is OGS Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates One Gas (OGS) Watch with a composite score of 55/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated August 08, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.79 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.21 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.60 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Dividend yield of 3.4% pays you to wait — Value
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Current ratio of 0.60 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 24%
of 45 Utilities peers
Value Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.60 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 55.2.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Risk Analyst: stance bullish->bearish; score 70->35 (-35); +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 42->61 (+20); +2 bullish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst joined: bullish at 70.

Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
60.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.031
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$78.73
Resistance
$81.58
Bollinger %B
0.75
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$79.22 Above
EMA 21
$79.09 Above
EMA 50
$79.56 Above
EMA 200
$80.53 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
87
Growth
52
Profitability
57
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio 17.2×
P/B Ratio 1.43×
PEG Ratio 1.61
Dividend Yield 3.37%
52W High $90.78
52W Low $73.91
Quality & Growth
ROE 768.1%
ROA 283.2%
Gross Margin 7464.8%
Operating Margin 2064.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.7%; Return on assets of 2.8%; Net margin of 12.5%; Gross margin of 74.6%; Current ratio of 0.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 25.7%; EPS growth decelerating (+43.7% -> -59.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 54.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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