OGS · NYSE · STOCK
One Gas (OGS) Stock Analysis
$72.53
52W $70.37 – $90.78
52/100
$4.55B
15.6
0.63
Is OGS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates One Gas (OGS) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.69 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -0.8% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -0.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.60 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 56 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -0.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.60 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.6 to 51.7.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.187
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$71.04
Resistance
$73.73
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$72.66
Below
EMA 21
$73.87
Below
EMA 50
$76.13
Below
EMA 200
$79.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Growth
53
Profitability
57
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.6×
P/B Ratio
1.29×
PEG Ratio
1.46
Dividend Yield
3.74%
52W High
$90.78
52W Low
$70.37
Quality & Growth
ROE
768.1%
ROA
283.2%
Gross Margin
7464.8%
Operating Margin
2064.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of 1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.7%; Return on assets of 2.8%; Net margin of 12.5%; Gross margin of 74.6%; Current ratio of 0.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.75); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+43.7% -> -59.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 54.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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